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	<title>Comments on: One step forwards,Ten steps Back</title>
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	<link>http://ckmac.com/thewholething/2009/07/17/one-step-forwardsten-steps-back/</link>
	<description>inferis blogere quam dissimulari cœli</description>
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		<title>By: CK MacLeod</title>
		<link>http://ckmac.com/thewholething/2009/07/17/one-step-forwardsten-steps-back/#comment-486</link>
		<dc:creator>CK MacLeod</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 18 Jul 2009 04:22:05 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>Excellent article, btw.  Or maybe I just think that because it conforms to much of my thinking about China, against the China bulls that are still rummaging around.  

Two sections stood out to me:

The description of the Chinese Catch-22 from an economist:

&lt;blockquote&gt;&quot;People need to realize that China doesn&#039;t actually have any real U.S. money,&quot; Das says. &quot;Unless they can turn in their bonds and exchange them for something else, they&#039;re only paper assets. Yet if they try to exit the position, they&#039;ll destabilize the dollar, and the value of the rest of their assets will plunge. And that&#039;s not even their biggest problem. It&#039;s that they also need to keep buying Treasurys, or interest rates will go up and their capital losses will be terrible.&quot;...In short, Das says, Beijing thought it had discovered the perfect scheme for establishing independence from the West, yet it has instead made its dependence worse than ever. &lt;/blockquote&gt;

and:

&lt;blockquote&gt;There are no good solutions. The Chinese need to open their markets and let their currency float on the open market, but they won&#039;t for political reasons. And the U.S. needs to either halt its runaway deficit spending so that the world is not even more flooded with our debt, or swallow its pride and issue Treasurys denominated in Chinese currency. That probably won&#039;t happen either. Which means there is only one solution left: a long, slow, boring, lonely, soul-crushing process of digging out from under the piles of debt that got us into this mess.&lt;/blockquote&gt;</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Excellent article, btw.  Or maybe I just think that because it conforms to much of my thinking about China, against the China bulls that are still rummaging around.  </p>
<p>Two sections stood out to me:</p>
<p>The description of the Chinese Catch-22 from an economist:</p>
<blockquote><p>&#8220;People need to realize that China doesn&#8217;t actually have any real U.S. money,&#8221; Das says. &#8220;Unless they can turn in their bonds and exchange them for something else, they&#8217;re only paper assets. Yet if they try to exit the position, they&#8217;ll destabilize the dollar, and the value of the rest of their assets will plunge. And that&#8217;s not even their biggest problem. It&#8217;s that they also need to keep buying Treasurys, or interest rates will go up and their capital losses will be terrible.&#8221;&#8230;In short, Das says, Beijing thought it had discovered the perfect scheme for establishing independence from the West, yet it has instead made its dependence worse than ever. </p></blockquote>
<p>and:</p>
<blockquote><p>There are no good solutions. The Chinese need to open their markets and let their currency float on the open market, but they won&#8217;t for political reasons. And the U.S. needs to either halt its runaway deficit spending so that the world is not even more flooded with our debt, or swallow its pride and issue Treasurys denominated in Chinese currency. That probably won&#8217;t happen either. Which means there is only one solution left: a long, slow, boring, lonely, soul-crushing process of digging out from under the piles of debt that got us into this mess.</p></blockquote>
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		<title>By: J.E. Dyer</title>
		<link>http://ckmac.com/thewholething/2009/07/17/one-step-forwardsten-steps-back/#comment-462</link>
		<dc:creator>J.E. Dyer</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 17 Jul 2009 20:18:03 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>Stop the deficit spending and the UNCASHABLE T-Bills go away.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Stop the deficit spending and the UNCASHABLE T-Bills go away.</p>
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