Category Archives: Nuclear Strategy

Ockham’s Razor

The simplest explanation for a phenomenon, ceteris paribus, is to be preferred. Here is my candidate for understanding current American policy regarding Iran:  Barack Obama wants Iran to acquire a a nuclear weapon, indeed several or even many nuclear weapons.  Why?  To teach Israel a lesson and put the fear of God into Israelis.  The President [...]

CONTENTION OF THE DAY – what the Obami believe

Advocates of a containment policy suggest that in the absence of effective diplomacy or sanctions that deliver results, the stark U.S. options are acquiescence or military action. Privately, Obama administration officials confess that they believe Israeli action will preempt our policy debate, as Israel’s tolerance for an Iranian nuke is significantly lower than our own. [...]

CONTENTION OF THE DAY – Iranian gamechanger watch

The Iranian regime has been very clever in its development of a nuclear weapons program. Using a horizontal model where they first lined up all the necessary “ingredients” for advanced nuclear weapons –heavy water plants, experimental reactors, plutonium refining plants and uranium enrichment facilities — means that they can shoot directly for a thermonuclear device [...]

It’s Like I’ve Been Telling You

Drumbeat begins.

A Unique Take on Obama’s Dual Crisis

George Friedman of STRATFOR has offered a unique take on what he refers to as a “dual crisis” – Afghanistan and Iran – awaiting action from the President.  To cut to the chase, his prescription for the President is as follows:
On pure logic, history or politics aside, the best course is to strike Iran and [...]

CONTENTION OF THE DAY – seizing the high ground?

The Obama administration has an opportunity to turn its decision — which so far seems tentative and even reluctant — into a unilateral display of U.S. strength and confidence, and thereby seize the high ground on arms reduction while warning one of the world’s most recalcitrant proliferators that the game will soon be over. Hopefully, [...]

SPEAKING OF ANNIVERSARIES – 60 years…

Soviet Atomic Bomb Test
On August 29, 1949, the Soviet Union exploded its first atomic bomb. It came as a great shock to the United States because they were not expecting the Soviet Union to possess nuclear weapon knowledge so soon. Previously, the United States had used two atomic bombs on Japan to cause them to [...]

CONTENTION OF THE DAY

…[A] mood of defeatism appears to have settled over the White House. As one senior Obama adviser recently remarked: “It wouldn’t be easy to live with an Iran that’s a virtual nuclear power, but at the end of the day, it’s not a complete disaster.” A similar air of resignation has taken hold in Europe, [...]

Great News for Out-of-Work Cold Warriors!

Robert Haddick at the Small Wars Journal blog runs down three simple problems with the notion that offering a “defense umbrella” to US allies in the Middle East, as per Secretary Hillary Clinton’s recent pronouncements, would do much to solve the Iran problem.
His third point does give reason for hope, however, for all those thousands [...]

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